morning update: a few showers moved through southern counties and eventually have fizzled out this morning. Models continue to show isolated showers redeveloping later this afternoon over parts of NW TN and SW KY, and the edge of the upper low developing over the Southeast. Otherwise it still looks like a mild and dry day for most of the area.
9:00 am ba
More like spring.....
A weak upper trough was drifting through the mid-south early this morning spreading clouds and isolated light showers and sprinkles into northeast Arkansas and the Missouri Bootheel. Forecast models were doing a poor job of sampling this weak, small feature but it looks as though this system will drift eastward slowly today and bring more clouds and isolated showers mainly to our southern counties e.g. Bootheel and NW Tennessee. Northern counties should stay dry and perhaps even mainly sunny. With more clouds south went slightly cooler south to slightly warmer north, but everyone should see highs near 70° this afternoon.
Easter Weekend continues to look very nice, as we find ourselves under a short upper ridge and a cool wet upper low drifts through the southeastern states. Models are having some disagreements with the southeastern cut-off...but in any event that should stay to our south and east, leaving us with dry, quiet conditions....cool nights and mild days.
Latest model runs are even slower with the approaching Sunday night/Monday system so Easter should stay dry...with rain chances waiting until after sundown or even toward Monday morning.
Showers/storms looking likely for Monday...though not a super strong system so hopefully only minimal severe weather risk.
After a period of mild, dry weather for a couple of days, we'll start to get warm and more humid late next week.....leading up to a potentially stronger T'storm producer about next Friday or so....