Nice weather continues...for now...
Another clear, cool morning underway with pre-dawn air temps in the M50s to L60s...including 54° at Farmington as of 3 am. Dew points remain relatively low, in the 50s.
In the short term, today will be another very nice July day, even though a light southeast breeze will allow us to warm up a degree or three by afternoon. In addition, more clouds are possible by afternoon and evening as a system approaches from the west.
Main forecast question continues to involve chance of rain/T'showers late tonight into tomorrow with a system moving slowly through the southern plains this morning. Models are coming together a bit in showing a cool, wet weather system moving just to our south on Friday, but possibly brushing mainly southern counties of the Heartland from late tonight through about Saturday morning. Best chance of rain looks to be far southeast MO, NW Tennessee and SW Kentucky...but this could still shift a bit north or south with updated data. In any event....not a severe weather type system...and anything heavy should stay south toward Memphis and Little Rock...where it will be an unusually cool and wet July day.
Farther out....the big story is a gradual return to normal...or even hotter than normal...weather conditions. The weekend will gradually warm up with highs climbing thru the 80s......and then as we get into next week a dominant upper ridge will build eastward from the plains into the Mississippi Valley. Current indications are that next week will be a typical July week...with partly cloudy, hot and humid afternoons and muggy nights....with almost daily small chances of T'storms. Afternoon heat indices look to be close to or above 100 through much of next week with actual highs in the low to mid 90s.
7/17 4:00 ba